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26 Oct 2024 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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42.3%
Barnet
31.2%
Draw
26.5%
Rochdale

Expected Goals (xG)

1.23

Barnet

vs
0.92

Rochdale

Markets

BTTS43.8%
Over 0.587.3%
Over 1.564.6%
Over 2.536.5%
Over 3.517.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.3%
1-0
13.2%
0-0
12.7%
0-1
9.6%
2-0
8.8%
2-1
8.1%
1-2
6.1%
0-2
4.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-0
3.6%
3-1
3.3%
1-3
1.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).