Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →20.6%
Gil Vicente
26.5%
Draw
53.0%
Benfica
Expected Goals (xG)
0.93
Gil Vicente
vs
1.64
Benfica
Markets
BTTS49.8%
Over 0.591.4%
Over 1.573.6%
Over 2.547.4%
Over 3.525.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.6%
0-1
11.6%
0-2
10.2%
1-2
9.6%
0-0
8.6%
1-0
6.2%
0-3
5.6%
2-1
5.5%
1-3
5.2%
2-2
4.5%
2-0
3.3%
2-3
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).