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AHT: 04CSV

06 Feb 2022 · 12:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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57.7%
Dresden
24.8%
Draw
17.4%
Hansa Rostock

Expected Goals (xG)

1.82

Dresden

vs
0.91

Hansa Rostock

Markets

BTTS51.1%
Over 0.592.4%
Over 1.576.7%
Over 2.551.3%
Over 3.529.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.9%
1-0
10.8%
2-0
10.8%
2-1
9.8%
0-0
7.6%
3-0
6.5%
3-1
6.0%
1-2
4.9%
0-1
4.9%
2-2
4.5%
4-0
3.0%
3-2
2.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).