Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →14.7%
Avellino
27.0%
Draw
58.4%
Cagliari
Expected Goals (xG)
0.68
Avellino
vs
1.60
Cagliari
Markets
BTTS40.6%
Over 0.588.7%
Over 1.567.6%
Over 2.540.0%
Over 3.519.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
15.2%
0-2
13.0%
1-1
12.3%
0-0
11.3%
1-2
8.9%
0-3
7.0%
1-0
5.9%
1-3
4.8%
2-1
3.8%
2-2
3.0%
0-4
2.8%
2-0
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).