Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →56.7%
Altrincham
23.5%
Draw
19.7%
Morecambe
Expected Goals (xG)
1.95
Altrincham
vs
1.08
Morecambe
Markets
BTTS57.4%
Over 0.594.3%
Over 1.581.3%
Over 2.558.2%
Over 3.535.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
2-0
9.2%
1-0
8.6%
3-1
6.4%
3-0
6.0%
0-0
5.7%
1-2
5.5%
2-2
5.3%
0-1
4.4%
3-2
3.5%
4-1
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).