Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →21.7%
Carlisle
24.2%
Draw
54.1%
Port Vale
Expected Goals (xG)
0.90
Carlisle
vs
1.59
Port Vale
Markets
BTTS46.8%
Over 0.592.2%
Over 1.570.7%
Over 2.545.5%
Over 3.524.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
13.6%
1-1
11.4%
0-2
10.5%
1-2
9.4%
1-0
7.9%
0-0
7.8%
0-3
5.6%
2-1
5.3%
1-3
5.0%
2-2
4.3%
2-0
3.3%
2-3
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).