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DHT: 11CSV

08 Apr 2018

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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35.3%
Braunschweig
26.3%
Draw
38.3%
Dresden

Expected Goals (xG)

1.48

Braunschweig

vs
1.55

Dresden

Markets

BTTS61.8%
Over 0.594.1%
Over 1.581.5%
Over 2.558.2%
Over 3.535.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.2%
1-2
8.6%
2-1
8.2%
0-1
6.4%
2-2
6.3%
1-0
6.1%
0-0
5.9%
0-2
5.8%
2-0
5.3%
1-3
4.4%
3-1
4.0%
2-3
3.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).