Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →61.3%
Roma
22.7%
Draw
16.1%
Fiorentina
Expected Goals (xG)
1.76
Roma
vs
0.76
Fiorentina
Markets
BTTS44.0%
Over 0.592.1%
Over 1.571.5%
Over 2.546.1%
Over 3.524.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.3%
2-0
12.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-1
9.5%
0-0
7.9%
3-0
7.3%
0-1
6.3%
3-1
5.5%
1-2
4.1%
2-2
3.6%
4-0
3.2%
4-1
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).