Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →33.7%
Andorra
26.5%
Draw
39.8%
Malaga
Expected Goals (xG)
1.20
Andorra
vs
1.33
Malaga
Markets
BTTS51.3%
Over 0.592.2%
Over 1.571.8%
Over 2.546.4%
Over 3.524.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.6%
0-1
10.7%
1-0
9.7%
1-2
8.5%
0-0
7.8%
2-1
7.6%
0-2
7.0%
2-0
5.7%
2-2
5.1%
1-3
3.7%
0-3
3.1%
3-1
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).