Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →31.0%
Ceuta
21.5%
Draw
47.5%
Santander
Expected Goals (xG)
1.57
Ceuta
vs
1.98
Santander
Markets
BTTS68.2%
Over 0.597.2%
Over 1.586.8%
Over 2.568.8%
Over 3.547.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
8.8%
1-2
8.8%
2-1
7.0%
2-2
6.9%
1-3
5.8%
0-1
5.8%
0-2
5.6%
1-0
4.6%
2-3
4.6%
0-3
3.7%
3-1
3.7%
3-2
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).