Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →71.1%
Birmingham
17.4%
Draw
11.5%
Reading
Expected Goals (xG)
2.08
Birmingham
vs
0.67
Reading
Markets
BTTS41.9%
Over 0.594.3%
Over 1.575.3%
Over 2.551.8%
Over 3.529.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.1%
2-0
13.8%
3-0
9.6%
2-1
9.3%
1-1
8.2%
3-1
6.4%
0-0
5.7%
0-1
5.0%
4-0
5.0%
4-1
3.3%
2-2
3.1%
1-2
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).