⚽ FootballData
1 – 0
HHT: 10CSV

14 Sept 2025 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

View all models →
40.9%
Virtus Entella
30.1%
Draw
29.0%
Mantova

Expected Goals (xG)

1.31

Virtus Entella

vs
1.07

Mantova

Markets

BTTS49.1%
Over 0.589.4%
Over 1.569.9%
Over 2.542.4%
Over 3.521.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.3%
1-0
10.9%
0-0
10.6%
0-1
8.6%
2-1
8.5%
2-0
8.0%
1-2
6.9%
0-2
5.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-1
3.7%
3-0
3.5%
1-3
2.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).