Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →61.0%
Bournemouth
21.9%
Draw
17.1%
Burnley
Expected Goals (xG)
2.24
Bournemouth
vs
1.14
Burnley
Markets
BTTS62.0%
Over 0.595.4%
Over 1.586.3%
Over 2.565.7%
Over 3.543.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
9.9%
2-1
9.7%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
7.3%
1-0
6.4%
3-0
6.4%
2-2
5.6%
1-2
5.0%
0-0
4.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-1
4.1%
4-0
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).