Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →62.7%
Leverkusen
23.1%
Draw
14.1%
Augsburg
Expected Goals (xG)
1.89
Leverkusen
vs
0.79
Augsburg
Markets
BTTS47.0%
Over 0.592.3%
Over 1.575.5%
Over 2.550.1%
Over 3.528.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
12.3%
1-0
12.2%
1-1
11.0%
2-1
9.7%
3-0
7.8%
0-0
7.7%
3-1
6.1%
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.0%
2-2
3.8%
4-0
3.7%
4-1
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).