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13 Mar 2021 · 13:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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57.1%
Rizespor
23.1%
Draw
19.8%
Hatayspor

Expected Goals (xG)

2.37

Rizespor

vs
1.40

Hatayspor

Markets

BTTS70.2%
Over 0.595.8%
Over 1.590.9%
Over 2.572.6%
Over 3.552.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
9.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-1
7.2%
2-0
6.5%
2-2
6.3%
1-2
5.4%
3-0
5.1%
3-2
5.0%
4-1
4.2%
0-0
4.2%
1-0
3.5%
4-0
3.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).