Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →37.7%
Almeria
25.2%
Draw
37.1%
Elche
Expected Goals (xG)
1.39
Almeria
vs
1.38
Elche
Markets
BTTS56.0%
Over 0.593.8%
Over 1.576.2%
Over 2.552.3%
Over 3.530.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.9%
1-0
8.9%
0-1
8.8%
2-1
8.4%
1-2
8.3%
0-0
6.2%
2-0
6.1%
0-2
6.0%
2-2
5.8%
3-1
3.9%
1-3
3.8%
3-0
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).