Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →45.3%
Fulham
29.6%
Draw
25.1%
Nott'm Forest
Expected Goals (xG)
1.47
Fulham
vs
1.04
Nott'm Forest
Markets
BTTS51.5%
Over 0.590.2%
Over 1.573.2%
Over 2.545.9%
Over 3.524.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.1%
1-0
10.2%
0-0
9.8%
2-1
9.1%
2-0
8.8%
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-1
4.5%
0-2
4.4%
3-0
4.3%
3-2
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).