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AHT: 10CSV

12 Jan 2018

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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36.0%
Valenciennes
29.3%
Draw
34.8%
Chateauroux

Expected Goals (xG)

0.98

Valenciennes

vs
0.96

Chateauroux

Markets

BTTS37.4%
Over 0.586.7%
Over 1.556.6%
Over 2.530.6%
Over 3.513.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
15.2%
0-1
14.9%
0-0
13.3%
1-1
12.4%
2-0
6.9%
2-1
6.6%
0-2
6.6%
1-2
6.5%
2-2
3.2%
3-0
2.3%
3-1
2.2%
0-3
2.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).