Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →71.9%
Lincoln
17.0%
Draw
11.2%
Northampton
Expected Goals (xG)
2.13
Lincoln
vs
0.67
Northampton
Markets
BTTS42.4%
Over 0.594.7%
Over 1.576.2%
Over 2.553.1%
Over 3.530.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
13.8%
1-0
13.7%
3-0
9.8%
2-1
9.3%
1-1
8.0%
3-1
6.6%
0-0
5.3%
4-0
5.2%
0-1
4.8%
4-1
3.5%
2-2
3.1%
1-2
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).