Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →52.6%
Modena
29.3%
Draw
18.1%
Benevento
Expected Goals (xG)
1.44
Modena
vs
0.74
Benevento
Markets
BTTS41.3%
Over 0.587.6%
Over 1.565.4%
Over 2.537.3%
Over 3.517.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.0%
1-1
13.2%
0-0
12.4%
2-0
11.7%
2-1
8.7%
0-1
7.2%
3-0
5.6%
1-2
4.5%
3-1
4.2%
2-2
3.2%
0-2
3.1%
4-0
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).