Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →47.5%
Farense
30.8%
Draw
21.7%
Belenenses
Expected Goals (xG)
1.12
Farense
vs
0.64
Belenenses
Markets
BTTS31.5%
Over 0.583.4%
Over 1.552.1%
Over 2.526.0%
Over 3.510.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
19.7%
0-0
16.6%
1-1
11.8%
0-1
11.6%
2-0
10.7%
2-1
6.9%
3-0
4.0%
1-2
4.0%
0-2
3.6%
3-1
2.6%
2-2
2.2%
4-0
1.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).