Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →12.4%
Montpellier
18.6%
Draw
69.0%
Lorient
Expected Goals (xG)
0.76
Montpellier
vs
2.11
Lorient
Markets
BTTS46.4%
Over 0.594.6%
Over 1.577.8%
Over 2.554.7%
Over 3.532.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
12.7%
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.6%
0-3
8.9%
1-1
8.8%
1-3
6.7%
0-0
5.4%
0-4
4.7%
1-0
4.5%
2-2
3.6%
1-4
3.6%
2-1
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).