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AHT: 01CSV

04 Jan 2025 · 10:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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10.0%
Ad. Demirspor
16.5%
Draw
73.4%
Buyuksehyr

Expected Goals (xG)

1.16

Ad. Demirspor

vs
3.02

Buyuksehyr

Markets

BTTS66.7%
Over 0.597.1%
Over 1.593.4%
Over 2.578.7%
Over 3.560.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-3
8.1%
1-2
8.1%
0-3
7.0%
0-2
7.0%
1-1
6.7%
1-4
6.2%
0-4
5.3%
2-3
4.7%
2-2
4.7%
1-5
3.7%
2-4
3.6%
0-1
3.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).