Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →77.4%
Milan
15.8%
Draw
6.8%
Spezia
Expected Goals (xG)
2.23
Milan
vs
0.50
Spezia
Markets
BTTS34.8%
Over 0.593.6%
Over 1.575.5%
Over 2.551.4%
Over 3.529.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
16.3%
1-0
14.7%
3-0
12.1%
2-1
8.1%
1-1
7.1%
4-0
6.8%
0-0
6.4%
3-1
6.0%
4-1
3.4%
0-1
3.4%
5-0
3.0%
2-2
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).