Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →77.1%
Man United
14.9%
Draw
8.0%
Ipswich
Expected Goals (xG)
2.89
Man United
vs
0.90
Ipswich
Markets
BTTS57.1%
Over 0.596.9%
Over 1.590.1%
Over 2.573.1%
Over 3.552.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
9.4%
3-0
9.0%
2-1
8.5%
3-1
8.2%
1-1
6.7%
4-0
6.5%
4-1
5.9%
1-0
5.7%
2-2
3.8%
5-0
3.8%
3-2
3.7%
5-1
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).