Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →8.7%
Osnabruck
15.0%
Draw
76.3%
Hamburg
Expected Goals (xG)
0.90
Osnabruck
vs
2.82
Hamburg
Markets
BTTS56.5%
Over 0.597.0%
Over 1.589.2%
Over 2.571.8%
Over 3.551.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
9.6%
0-3
9.0%
1-2
8.7%
1-3
8.2%
1-1
6.8%
0-4
6.4%
0-1
6.2%
1-4
5.7%
2-2
3.9%
2-3
3.7%
0-5
3.6%
1-5
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).