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14 Mar 2023 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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36.9%
Boreham Wood
27.0%
Draw
36.1%
Southend

Expected Goals (xG)

1.43

Boreham Wood

vs
1.41

Southend

Markets

BTTS58.6%
Over 0.593.2%
Over 1.578.6%
Over 2.554.1%
Over 3.531.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.7%
2-1
8.4%
1-2
8.3%
1-0
7.3%
0-1
7.2%
0-0
6.8%
2-0
6.0%
2-2
6.0%
0-2
5.8%
3-1
4.0%
1-3
3.9%
3-0
2.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).