Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →52.5%
Aberdeen
27.0%
Draw
20.4%
Ross County
Expected Goals (xG)
1.56
Aberdeen
vs
0.88
Ross County
Markets
BTTS47.1%
Over 0.590.5%
Over 1.570.9%
Over 2.544.2%
Over 3.523.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-0
10.6%
0-0
9.5%
2-1
9.3%
0-1
6.9%
3-0
5.5%
1-2
5.3%
3-1
4.9%
2-2
4.1%
0-2
3.4%
4-0
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).