Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →25.7%
Zürich
27.3%
Draw
47.0%
Basel
Expected Goals (xG)
1.27
Zürich
vs
1.76
Basel
Markets
BTTS61.3%
Over 0.593.2%
Over 1.582.3%
Over 2.558.2%
Over 3.535.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.7%
1-2
9.5%
0-2
7.5%
2-1
6.8%
0-0
6.8%
0-1
6.6%
2-2
6.0%
1-3
5.6%
0-3
4.4%
1-0
4.2%
2-0
3.9%
2-3
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).