Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →69.0%
Wrexham
17.6%
Draw
13.4%
Chesterfield
Expected Goals (xG)
2.62
Wrexham
vs
1.12
Chesterfield
Markets
BTTS63.0%
Over 0.597.0%
Over 1.589.3%
Over 2.572.1%
Over 3.551.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.1%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
8.0%
1-1
7.5%
3-0
7.1%
1-0
5.6%
4-1
5.2%
2-2
5.1%
4-0
4.7%
3-2
4.5%
1-2
3.9%
0-0
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).