Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →41.5%
Portsmouth
31.1%
Draw
27.4%
Luton
Expected Goals (xG)
1.23
Portsmouth
vs
0.95
Luton
Markets
BTTS44.6%
Over 0.587.6%
Over 1.565.2%
Over 2.537.2%
Over 3.517.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.3%
1-0
12.8%
0-0
12.4%
0-1
9.6%
2-0
8.5%
2-1
8.1%
1-2
6.3%
0-2
5.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-0
3.5%
3-1
3.3%
1-3
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).