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30 Sept 2023 · 16:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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14.7%
Clermont
19.1%
Draw
66.2%
Paris SG

Expected Goals (xG)

0.82

Clermont

vs
2.03

Paris SG

Markets

BTTS48.0%
Over 0.594.7%
Over 1.577.1%
Over 2.554.2%
Over 3.531.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
12.3%
0-2
11.9%
1-2
9.8%
1-1
9.1%
0-3
8.1%
1-3
6.6%
1-0
5.3%
0-0
5.3%
0-4
4.1%
2-2
4.0%
2-1
3.9%
1-4
3.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).