Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →84.9%
Krasnodar
13.2%
Draw
1.9%
Fakel
Expected Goals (xG)
2.34
Krasnodar
vs
0.22
Fakel
Markets
BTTS18.4%
Over 0.591.8%
Over 1.573.1%
Over 2.547.3%
Over 3.525.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
21.1%
1-0
17.5%
3-0
16.5%
4-0
9.7%
0-0
8.2%
2-1
4.7%
5-0
4.5%
1-1
4.5%
3-1
3.7%
4-1
2.1%
0-1
1.2%
5-1
1.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).