Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →26.7%
Schalke 04
26.3%
Draw
47.0%
Freiburg
Expected Goals (xG)
1.16
Schalke 04
vs
1.61
Freiburg
Markets
BTTS55.8%
Over 0.593.0%
Over 1.577.2%
Over 2.552.4%
Over 3.530.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.5%
1-2
9.4%
0-1
9.3%
0-2
8.1%
0-0
7.0%
2-1
6.8%
1-0
6.5%
2-2
5.5%
1-3
5.1%
0-3
4.4%
2-0
4.2%
2-3
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).