Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →45.5%
Chesterfield
24.4%
Draw
30.1%
Crewe
Expected Goals (xG)
1.53
Chesterfield
vs
1.19
Crewe
Markets
BTTS54.0%
Over 0.593.9%
Over 1.575.0%
Over 2.551.1%
Over 3.529.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.5%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.2%
0-1
8.3%
2-0
7.7%
1-2
7.1%
0-0
6.1%
2-2
5.5%
0-2
4.7%
3-1
4.7%
3-0
3.9%
1-3
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).