Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →80.6%
Darmstadt
12.9%
Draw
6.6%
Erzgebirge Aue
Expected Goals (xG)
3.03
Darmstadt
vs
0.83
Erzgebirge Aue
Markets
BTTS54.3%
Over 0.597.4%
Over 1.590.3%
Over 2.574.1%
Over 3.553.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0
9.8%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
8.1%
2-1
8.0%
4-0
7.4%
4-1
6.2%
1-0
5.8%
1-1
5.8%
5-0
4.5%
5-1
3.7%
3-2
3.4%
2-2
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).