Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →31.8%
Eibar
28.6%
Draw
39.6%
Celta
Expected Goals (xG)
1.09
Eibar
vs
1.25
Celta
Markets
BTTS47.5%
Over 0.590.0%
Over 1.568.0%
Over 2.541.3%
Over 3.520.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.4%
0-1
11.8%
1-0
10.3%
0-0
10.0%
1-2
8.2%
0-2
7.5%
2-1
7.1%
2-0
5.7%
2-2
4.5%
1-3
3.4%
0-3
3.1%
3-1
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).