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HHT: 10CSV

07 May 2017

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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42.5%
Nott'm Forest
29.1%
Draw
28.4%
Ipswich

Expected Goals (xG)

1.35

Nott'm Forest

vs
1.06

Ipswich

Markets

BTTS49.4%
Over 0.590.1%
Over 1.570.4%
Over 2.543.4%
Over 3.522.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.8%
1-0
11.2%
0-0
9.9%
2-1
8.7%
0-1
8.5%
2-0
8.2%
1-2
6.8%
0-2
5.0%
2-2
4.6%
3-1
3.9%
3-0
3.7%
1-3
2.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).