⚽ FootballData
4 – 1
HHT: 21CSV

07 May 2023 · 11:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

View all models →
35.3%
Umraniyespor
31.1%
Draw
33.6%
Sivasspor

Expected Goals (xG)

1.43

Umraniyespor

vs
1.40

Sivasspor

Markets

BTTS60.3%
Over 0.591.1%
Over 1.580.4%
Over 2.553.7%
Over 3.531.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.8%
0-0
8.9%
2-1
8.5%
1-2
8.2%
2-0
6.1%
2-2
5.9%
0-2
5.8%
1-0
5.5%
0-1
5.3%
3-1
4.0%
1-3
3.8%
3-0
2.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).