Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →47.3%
Wolfsburg
28.0%
Draw
24.7%
St Pauli
Expected Goals (xG)
1.47
Wolfsburg
vs
0.99
St Pauli
Markets
BTTS49.3%
Over 0.590.6%
Over 1.571.3%
Over 2.544.6%
Over 3.523.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.3%
1-0
11.7%
0-0
9.4%
2-0
9.2%
2-1
9.1%
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-0
4.5%
3-1
4.5%
0-2
4.2%
3-2
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).