Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →31.0%
Cartagena
29.5%
Draw
39.5%
Tenerife
Expected Goals (xG)
0.97
Cartagena
vs
1.13
Tenerife
Markets
BTTS42.0%
Over 0.587.9%
Over 1.562.0%
Over 2.535.1%
Over 3.516.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
14.0%
1-1
13.3%
0-0
12.1%
1-0
12.0%
0-2
7.8%
1-2
7.6%
2-1
6.5%
2-0
5.7%
2-2
3.7%
0-3
3.0%
1-3
2.9%
3-1
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).