Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →10.3%
Bordeaux
14.1%
Draw
75.6%
Lens
Expected Goals (xG)
0.93
Bordeaux
vs
2.75
Lens
Markets
BTTS56.6%
Over 0.597.7%
Over 1.588.1%
Over 2.571.2%
Over 3.550.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
9.5%
1-2
8.9%
0-3
8.7%
1-3
8.1%
0-1
7.1%
1-1
6.3%
0-4
6.0%
1-4
5.6%
2-2
4.1%
2-3
3.8%
0-5
3.3%
1-5
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).