Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →40.8%
Barnet
29.9%
Draw
29.4%
Accrington
Expected Goals (xG)
1.09
Barnet
vs
0.87
Accrington
Markets
BTTS38.1%
Over 0.586.5%
Over 1.557.9%
Over 2.531.3%
Over 3.513.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.8%
0-0
13.5%
1-1
12.8%
0-1
12.8%
2-0
8.3%
2-1
7.3%
1-2
5.8%
0-2
5.4%
2-2
3.2%
3-0
3.0%
3-1
2.6%
1-3
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).