Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →39.3%
Elche
24.4%
Draw
36.3%
Sociedad
Expected Goals (xG)
1.57
Elche
vs
1.50
Sociedad
Markets
BTTS61.8%
Over 0.595.1%
Over 1.581.4%
Over 2.559.3%
Over 3.536.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.2%
2-1
8.6%
1-2
8.2%
1-0
7.0%
0-1
6.7%
2-2
6.4%
2-0
5.7%
0-2
5.2%
0-0
4.9%
3-1
4.5%
1-3
4.1%
3-2
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).