Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →27.9%
Karlsruhe
25.4%
Draw
46.7%
Hertha
Expected Goals (xG)
1.32
Karlsruhe
vs
1.76
Hertha
Markets
BTTS61.8%
Over 0.594.4%
Over 1.582.3%
Over 2.559.5%
Over 3.537.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.7%
1-2
9.4%
0-2
7.1%
2-1
7.1%
0-1
7.0%
2-2
6.2%
0-0
5.6%
1-3
5.5%
1-0
5.0%
0-3
4.2%
2-0
4.0%
2-3
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).