Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →13.7%
Granada
17.8%
Draw
68.6%
Villarreal
Expected Goals (xG)
1.00
Granada
vs
2.43
Villarreal
Markets
BTTS58.0%
Over 0.596.6%
Over 1.585.9%
Over 2.566.7%
Over 3.544.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
9.6%
0-2
9.5%
1-1
8.0%
1-3
7.7%
0-3
7.7%
0-1
7.7%
2-2
4.8%
1-4
4.7%
0-4
4.7%
2-1
4.0%
2-3
3.9%
0-0
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).