Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →43.6%
Brighton
26.6%
Draw
29.9%
Nottingham Forest
Expected Goals (xG)
1.34
Brighton
vs
1.05
Nottingham Forest
Markets
BTTS47.6%
Over 0.591.3%
Over 1.568.6%
Over 2.542.8%
Over 3.521.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.6%
1-1
12.5%
0-1
10.1%
0-0
8.7%
2-1
8.6%
2-0
8.2%
1-2
6.8%
0-2
5.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-1
3.8%
3-0
3.6%
1-3
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).