Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →35.4%
Crawley Town
25.4%
Draw
39.2%
Hartlepool
Expected Goals (xG)
1.26
Crawley Town
vs
1.34
Hartlepool
Markets
BTTS52.3%
Over 0.593.0%
Over 1.572.7%
Over 2.548.0%
Over 3.526.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.1%
0-1
10.5%
1-0
9.9%
1-2
8.4%
2-1
7.9%
0-0
7.0%
0-2
6.7%
2-0
5.9%
2-2
5.3%
1-3
3.7%
3-1
3.3%
0-3
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).