Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →31.4%
Troyes
29.7%
Draw
38.9%
Auxerre
Expected Goals (xG)
0.95
Troyes
vs
1.09
Auxerre
Markets
BTTS40.4%
Over 0.587.4%
Over 1.560.1%
Over 2.533.4%
Over 3.515.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
14.6%
1-1
13.1%
1-0
12.7%
0-0
12.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-2
7.4%
2-1
6.4%
2-0
5.8%
2-2
3.5%
0-3
2.8%
1-3
2.7%
3-1
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).