Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →79.1%
Burnley
17.2%
Draw
3.7%
West Brom
Expected Goals (xG)
2.03
Burnley
vs
0.27
West Brom
Markets
BTTS21.3%
Over 0.589.6%
Over 1.567.4%
Over 2.540.5%
Over 3.520.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
20.6%
1-0
19.9%
3-0
13.9%
0-0
10.4%
4-0
7.0%
1-1
6.0%
2-1
5.7%
3-1
3.8%
5-0
2.9%
0-1
2.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).